美国战斗机降落在航空母舰上(盖蒂图片社) 7 月 8 日晚上 8:40 斯蒂芬·阿尔弗 随着科技板块从早期跌势中反弹,比特币仍面临压力 今天上午,纳斯达克指数跌幅超过 1%,触及最低水平,但最终收盘上涨 0.2%,英伟达 (Nvidia) 上涨 3.65%。 尽管伊朗停火协议破裂后油价上涨近 7%,债券收益率升至近多年高位,但股市仍成功反弹。 不过,加密货币下午并没有出现这样的买盘,比特币仍接近当天的低点 62,100 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌了 2.4%。以太坊(ETH)和瑞波币(XRP)也出现类似下跌。 加密货币
按此价格计算,仅比 135 美元的 IPO 价格高出 8%。 SPCX 的历史新高是在 6 月中旬公开发行后几天创下的,为 225.64 美元。 7 月 8 日下午 6:22 斯蒂芬·阿尔弗 FOMC 会议纪要:一些人认为 6 月份加息的理由 美联储六月政策会议的强硬态度已经是旧闻,因此市场并未对官方发布的会议纪要做出真正的反应。 大多数与会者表达了对通胀的担忧,少数人希望立即加息,但最终同意其他人暂时维持政策不变。 会议纪要显示,“核心商品价格通胀较上年同期有所上升,工作人员认为这在很大程度上反映了关税和人工智能相关价格压力的影响”。 由于油价大幅上涨,债券收益率当天仍大幅走高。纳斯达克指数在盘中早些时候下跌 1% 后已恢复持平(反弹发生在美联储会议纪要发布之前)。过去 24 小时内,比特币仍下跌 2.8%,至 62,200 美元。 7 月 8 日下午 3:52 海伦·布劳恩
“拿起电话,叫我兄弟”:TeraWulf 首席财务官反驳吉姆·查诺斯的假设 TeraWulf (WULF) 首席财务官 Patrick Fleury 在周二的播客中强烈批评了卖空者 Jim Chanos 的估值模型。弗勒里认为查诺斯夸大了公司未来的维护资本支出,假设每年每兆瓦 100 万至 150 万美元,他称这是“荒谬的”。 Fleury 表示,TeraWulf 的作用仅限于提供数据中心外壳以及电力和水,而租户拥有并升级计算设备。这意味着技术更新成本由客户承担,而不是 TeraWulf。 “吉姆,拿起电话,叫我兄弟,”弗勒里说。 在周三的低迷市场中,WULF 上涨 8%,在宣布签署一项为期 20 年的协议,在其肯塔基州数据中心园区托管人工智能客户后,该股上涨了前一交易日的涨幅。 7 月 8 日下午 3:30 海伦·布劳恩 Paradigm 为人工智能、机器人基金筹集 12 亿美元
Paradigm 已为一支针对人工智能和机器人技术的新风险基金筹集了 12 亿美元,该基金的业务范围已超出了加密货币领域,这使其成为业内最大的风险公司之一。 据彭博社报道,该基金已经投资了自主无人机送货公司 Zipline International 和太空防御初创公司 True Anomaly。 尽管授权范围更广,管理合伙人 Alana Palmedo 表示,该公司不会放弃数字资产。 “加密货币是我们的第一个前沿领域,它仍然是一个非常令人兴奋的领域,但现在正在发生很多其他事情,很难忽视,”她告诉彭博社。 Paradigm 成立于 2018 年,此前曾于 2021 年筹集了 25 亿美元的加密货币基金,并于 2024 年筹集了 8.5 亿美元的区块链基金。 7 月 8 日下午 3:30 克里斯蒂安·桑德尔 10x Research 表示,Coinbase 在成为买入机会之前可能会再下跌 12% 加密货币交易所 Coinbase (COIN) 的股价可能已从高点大幅下跌,但 10x Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 表示,现在买入机会还为时过早。
在周三给客户的一份报告中,蒂伦认为 Coinbase 的行为更像是对比特币的杠杆押注,而不是受自身基本面驱动的股票。 他写道:“Coinbase 的股价与比特币的相关性比与其自身的净收入或净利润的相关性更密切。”他补充说,仅就收益而言,该股票的价值将接近 120 美元至 140 美元,远低于目前约 158 美元至 163 美元的水平。 他表示,如果比特币跌至 46,500 美元(10x 预计当前周期将在 8 月至 9 月左右触底),Coinbase 可能会重新审视 120 美元至 140 美元的区间。 这就是蒂伦认为更具吸引力的长期切入点,而不是以当前价格购买股票。 “对于有长远眼光的投资者来说,低于 140 美元的价格才是真正价值开始显现的地方。 7 月 8 日下午 2:28Nikhilesh De 法官驳回卡尔希阻止纽约起诉的动议 除了市场新闻之外,预测市场仍在继续就分类问题展开法律斗争。纽约的一名联邦法官拒绝阻止该州对卡尔希采取法律行动。
法官阿娜丽莎·托雷斯周二晚裁定,卡尔希没有明确说明其体育相关预测市场是《商品交易法》下的赛事合同,而不是应受国家监管的体育博彩产品。 纽约州总检察长利蒂西亚·詹姆斯在推文中表示,她将“追究所有赌博平台的责任”。卡尔希
U.S. fighter jet touches down on aircraft carrier (Getty images)
8:40 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Bitcoin remains under pressure as tech sector rebound from early loss
Down more than 1% at its lowest levels this morning, the Nasdaq managed to close with a 0.2% gain, led by a 3.65% advance for Nvidia.
Stocks managed to bounce even as oil shot higher by almost 7% and bond yields rose near multi-year highs following the collapse of the Iran ceasefire.
Crypto saw no such afternoon buying, though, with bitcoin still near the day's low at $62,100, down 2.4% over the past 24 hours. Ether (ETH) and XRP (XRP) were down similarly.
In crypto-related stocks, Strategy (MSTR) fell 3.6% and Coinbase (COIN) dipped 2.5%. Robinhood (HOOD), Gemini (GEMI), and Galaxy Digital (GLXY) all managed small gains.
7:23 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Elon Musk's SpaceX lower again, nearing IPO price
SpaceX (SPCX) fell to another new post-IPO low on Wednesday, trading as weak as $145.20. The price was 145.46 at press time, down 2.7% for the session.
At that price, it's just 8% above its IPO price of $135. SPCX's record high — hit in the days just after its mid-June public offering — was $225.64.
6:22 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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FOMC minutes: A few saw case for hiking rates in June
The hawkishness of the Fed's June policy meeting is old news, so markets aren't really reacting to the official release of the minutes.
Most participants expressed concern about inflation, with a few wanting to hike rates right away, but ultimately agreeing with the rest to hold policy for the time being.
"Core goods price inflation had risen relative to a year earlier, which the staff judged as largely reflecting the effects of tariffs and AI-related price pressures," according to the minutes.
Bond yields remain sharply higher for the day on the big rise in oil prices. The Nasdaq has returned to flat after being down 1% earlier in the session (the bounce came prior to the Fed minutes release). Bitcoin remains down 2.8% over the past 24 hours at $62,200.
3:52 p.m., July 8Helene Braun
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'Pick up the phone and call me bro': TeraWulf CFO pushes back on Jim Chanos' assumptions
TeraWulf (WULF) CFO Patrick Fleury forcefully criticized a valuation model from short seller Jim Chanos during a podcast on Tuesday. Fleury argued Chanos overstated the company's future maintenance capital spending by assuming $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt annually, which he called "ridiculous."
According to Fleury, TeraWulf's role is limited to providing the data center shell along with power and water, while tenants own and upgrade the computing equipment. That means technology refresh costs are borne by customers rather than TeraWulf.
"Jim, pick up the phone and call me bro," said Fleury.
In a down market on Wednesday, WULF is higher by 8%, adding to gains from the previous session after announcing a 20-year agreement to host an artificial intelligence customer at its Kentucky data center campus.
3:30 p.m., July 8Helene Braun
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Paradigm raises $1.2 billion for AI, robotics fund
Paradigm has raised $1.2 billion for a new venture fund targeting AI and robotics, expanding beyond the crypto sector that made it one of the industry's largest venture firms.
The fund has already invested in autonomous drone delivery company Zipline International and space defense startup True Anomaly, Bloomberg reported.
Despite the broader mandate, managing partner Alana Palmedo said the firm is not moving away from digital assets. "Crypto was the first frontier for us, and it continues to be a really exciting one but there's so much else happening right now that's pretty hard to ignore," she told Bloomberg.
Founded in 2018, Paradigm previously raised a $2.5 billion crypto fund in 2021 and an $850 million blockchain-focused fund in 2024.
3:30 p.m., July 8Krisztian Sandor
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Coinbase could fall another 12% before becoming a buying opportunity, 10x Research says
Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) shares may have fallen sharply from its highs, but 10x Research founder Markus Thielen said it's still too early for a buying opportunity.
In a Wednesday note to clients, Thielen argued Coinbase behaves more like a leveraged bet on bitcoin than a stock driven by its own fundamentals.
"Coinbase's share price correlates more closely with bitcoin than with its own net revenue or net income," he wrote, adding that on earnings alone the stock would be worth closer to $120-$140, well below current levels around $158-$163.
He said if bitcoin falls toward $46,500, where 10x expects the current cycle to bottom around August-September, Coinbase could revisit that $120-$140 range.
That's where Thielen sees a more attractive long-term entry point, rather than buying the stock at current prices.
"Sub-$140 is where real value starts to emerge for investors with a longer-term view.
2:28 p.m., July 8Nikhilesh De
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Judge denies Kalshi's motion to block New York from suing it
Outside of market news, prediction markets continue their legal fight over classification. A federal judge in New York declined to block the state from taking legal action against Kalshi.
Judge Analisa Torres ruled Tuesday night that Kalshi had not made a clear case that its sports-related prediction markets were event contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act, rather than sports gambling products that should be overseen by the state.
In a tweet, New York State Attorney General Letitia James said she would "hold all gambling platforms accountable." Kalshi, in a court filing dated later Tuesday, said it was appealing to the Second Circuit Court of Appeals
2:15 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Adam Back's BTC treasury company SPAC deal crumbles
A shareholder vote that would have brought Adam Back-led BSTR Holdings (also known as the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company) public via a SPAC merger with Cantor Equity Partners (CEPO) has been indefinitely postponed.
The parties have agreed to try to revise the structure of the originally agreed-upon terms, according to a Wednesday press release.
With more than 30,000 bitcoin and possibly over $1 billion in cash to begin with, BSTR would have immediately ranked near the top among publicly owned bitcoin holders.
These digital asset treasury company SPAC mergers, though, have been a disaster, not just because of the slump in crypto prices but also because of the structures of the deals themselves, which allowed insiders to build stakes at preferred prices at the ultimate expense of later investors.
1:28 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Rock Chalk, XRP
The University of Kansas has announced a new partnership with Ripple, in which XRP will appear on that school's athletic uniforms.
"Rare moment where my professional and personal worlds collide," wrote Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, reminding that KU is his alma mater.
1:12 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Bitcoin at session low as Trump says Iran to be 'hit' again tonight
The U.S. will probably hit Iran again tonight, said President Trump minutes ago, speaking alongside Ukraine's Zelenskyy at the NATO summit.
Iran, said Trump, has violated the ceasefire agreement every day.
Bitcoin has returned to session lows of $61,800, down 2.5% over the past 24 hours.
WTI crude oil has jumped above $74 per barrel, up 5% for the day.
U.S. stock index futures, meanwhile, are well off session lows, the Nasdaq now down just 0.7% after earlier losses closer to 2%.
12:18 p.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Jeff Bezos has a space company too, and it's raising outside capital for the first time
Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin is nearing the close of a funding round, according to the NYT.
The $10 billion in fresh capital — in which the rocket maker will take outside investors for the first time — reportedly values the company at $130 billion.
The lead investor is Philippe Laffont's Coatue Management, contributing $4 billion. Bezos himself is adding an additional $2 billion.
11:57 a.m., July 8Stephen Alpher
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Trump orders Bessent to cut off all trade with Spain
"Spain is a wasted cause," said President Trump, speaking to reporters at the NATO summit in Turkey. "We don't want to any trade business with Spain anymore."
"Cut off all trade with Spain, please," Trump added, apparently addressing that remark to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who was seated nearby. "I don't want anything to do with Spain."
Trump's ire toward Spain was sparked by that country's unwillingness to increase defense spending to his liking.
9:54 a.m., July 8Shaurya Malwa
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OpenAI is naming its new AI models Terra and Luna, and crypto noticed
OpenAI said Wednesday it will publicly launch its GPT-5.6 model family this Thursday, expanding access globally after weeks of restricted preview.
The three models are named Sol, Terra and Luna - drawn from the Latin names for the sun, earth and moon, meant to mark capability tiers rather than model generations.
Thursday's public release ends that gated period and puts one of the most capable model families to date into general access, feeding the same AI-infrastructure race that has driven this month's market swings from chip stocks to crypto.
GPT-5.6 spent the past two weeks in a limited preview restricted to about 20 government-approved partners, a rollout OpenAI said was coordinated with the U.S. government over the models' cybersecurity capabilities.
Meanwhile, the naming choice draws amused reactions in crypto circles on social media.
Terra and Luna were the twin tokens at the center of a $40 billion implosion in May 2022, when the TerraUSD stablecoin lost its dollar peg and dragged its sister token LUNA to near zero, wiping out retail holders and triggering a cascade that took down Three Arrows Capital, Celsius and eventually FTX.
The names remain shorthand in crypto for catastrophic failure.
9:20 a.m., July 8Francisco Rodrigues
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RWA perpetual futures volumes rose by a factor of 1,472 since start of last year
Cryptocurrency exchanges' trading volume of perpetual futures contracts on real-world assets (RWAs) reached $347 billion for the month of May, up from $230 million at the start of 2025, according to CoinGecko.
Exchanges have processed more than $1.32 trillion in perpetual futures contracts for traditional finance instruments this year, compared with $104 billion last year, the firm's data shows.
Real-world asset perpetual futures overtook spot lst November, with $26.4 billion in monthly volume versus $17.7 billion for spot RWAs. In 2026, TradFi perps generated more than 8 times the volume of spot RWAs.
Binance led the category with almost $500 billion in volume across the 17-month period, while MEXC handled $324 billion and Hyperliquid $272 billion. Binance’s monthly share rose to 36% from 25%, extending its lead in crypto derivatives trading.
8:50 a.m., July 8Omkar Godbole
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Bitcoin ETFs post a third straight day of inflows, the first such run in weeks
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs took in $21.44 million on Monday, a third consecutive day of net inflows after $265.69 million on July 6 and $221.72 million on July 2, per SoSoValue data. It is the first three-day inflow run since the record June outflows began, though Monday's figure was the smallest of the three.
BlackRock's IBIT drove the day with $54.80 million, offsetting outflows from Fidelity's FBTC and ARKB. Total bitcoin ETF assets sit at $77.26 billion, up from a June 30 low of $70.95 billion.
The three-day run is modest in size but marks a shift in direction after eight straight weeks of net weekly outflows. Whether it holds is the signal that matters. The bid faded twice before in similar spots this year, and the real test comes with the Fed's late-July meeting and the mid-July inflation print.
Bitcoin traded near $63,800 as the data landed, up on the week, per data.
8:50 a.m., July 8Omkar Godbole
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Trump says Iran ceasefire is over. BTC slips to $62,000 as oil jumps 5%
President Donald Trump said Wednesday that the fragile ceasefire recently reached with Iran is over after the two nations exchanged airstrikes, injecting renewed geopolitical uncertainty in financial markets.
The memorandum of understanding and the ceasefire with Iran "is over, as far as I'm concerned," he said while speaking alongside NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at the NATO summit in Ankara.
WTI crude oil futures jumped by 5% to over $74 a barrel while bitcoin (BTC) slipped to $62,000, down 2% since midnight UTC. Futures tied to Nasdaq traded 1.2% lower at 29,000 points.
8:03 a.m., July 8Francisco Rodrigues
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Robinhood Chain tops $100 million in total value locked a week after launch
Robinhood Chain, the trading platform's layer-2 blockchain built on Arbitrum (ARB), has topped $100 million in total value locked (TVL) just a week after its debut, according to DeFiLlama data.
The lion’s share of funds, about $89.8 million, are held on lending platform Morpho, which the company is leveraging to power its newly launched Robinhood Earn product.
Decentralized exchange Uniswap is the next biggest, with $13 million in total value locked, followed by prediction market Meridian.
7:42 a.m., July 8Shaurya Malwa
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Korean stocks are in a technical bear market. Bitcoin is holding its ground again.
South Korea's Kospi has fallen about 20% from last month's peak — a figure considered to be a technical bear market in financial circles — as the AI-demand doubts that have whipsawed the index this month deepened.
The index dropped as much as 5.7% Wednesday, with SK Hynix falling 5% and Samsung losing 6.9%. Bitcoin traded near $62,650, down 0.6% on the day but still up 6.1% on the week, data show.
Korea's chip-heavy stock market, the best performer in the world earlier this year, has started to crack on concerns that hyperscalers' massive spending on AI isn't producing the returns to justify it, with worries over a possible glut of computing capacity.
The Kospi crashed 10% on June 22, slid again July 2, and has now given back most of a 116% year-to-date gain, trimmed to about 73%.
Samsung reported a 19-fold jump in quarterly profit this week on AI memory demand, and the stock fell anyway. Traders are demanding more proof to justify the money pouring into the AI supply chain, and Korea's concentration in two chipmakers plus leveraged ETFs that amplify moves has turned that doubt into outsized swings.
Bitcoin's relative calm fits the read that has held through the month. Crypto is caught in the same AI-driven risk complex, but its deeper, more liquid market has absorbed the macro pressure without the forced-deleveraging cascades hitting Korean equities.
6:54 a.m., July 8Omkar Godbole
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U.S. consumer inflation expectations hit highest since 2023
U.S. consumers are growing increasingly concerned about the rising cost of living, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey released Tuesday.
Consumers now expect inflation to rise to 3.7% over the next year, up from 3.5% in May and the highest reading since September 2023. Their three-year inflation expectations climbed to 3.3%, the highest level since June 2022. Five-year inflation expectations remained unchanged at 3%.
These rising inflation expectations are particularly relevant for perceived store of value assets like gold and bitcoin. When consumers anticipate high inflation, they often park a portion of their savings in store-of-value assets.
5:29 a.m., July 8Shaurya Malwa
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Japan's collapsing yen is pushing companies into bitcoin and XRP
The yen is trading near its weakest level in four decades, and Japanese companies are moving crypto onto their balance sheets to escape it.
SBI VC Trade on Tuesday said corporate demand for bitcoin and XRP is climbing as the currency's slide pushes firms to diversify reserves beyond cash, with the exchange's registered accounts passing 2 million, roughly double its 2025 count.
Hedge funds have turned the most bearish on the yen since 2007, boosting bets on further losses to nearly 138,000 contracts as of June 30, per CFTC data. The dollar buys around 162 yen as of Asian morning hours Wednesday.
The driver is the interest-rate gap between a hawkish U.S. Fed and a Bank of Japan still far behind it, the same gap that makes holding yen cash a losing position and sends firms looking for harder assets.
SBI, the crypto arm of Tokyo-based SBI Holdings, noted demand for its corporate service has grown alongside companies that hand out bitcoin or XRP through shareholder-perk programs.
The move fits a pattern the market has watched all month. A weak yen has fed the carry trade, where investors borrow cheaply in yen to buy higher-returning assets elsewhere, and some of that flow is now reaching crypto through regulated Japanese channels rather than offshore ones.
Bitcoin traded near $62,650 on Tuesday, up 6.1% on the week, per data.