原文：Regime change in Iran remains as necessary as ever
As a former deputy commander of U.S. Central Command, a Navy SEAL and a member of the National Security Council under former President George W. Bush, I spent decades helping oversee U.S. military operations across the Middle East under leaders including Jim Mattis and Lloyd Austin, both of whom later served this nation as Defense secretary. If I were advising President Donald Trump now, my message would be simple: Do not confuse a pause in hostilities with Iran — or even a limited, chaotic “opening” of the Strait of Hormuz — with a durable solution to the hostility between our nations.
总统对伊朗的立场有时显得不一致。
总统对伊朗的立场有时显得不一致。有时，他建议将伊朗政权更迭作为目标。 At others, his focus has shifted toward more limited goals, such as preventing a nuclear weapon, reopening the Strait of Hormuz or securing concessions through negotiation.这些都是重要的目标，但它们本身并不是结束德黑兰政权构成的威胁的战略。持久的解决方案需要明确定义的最终状态。
美国在传达其目标的方式上一直缺乏这种明确性。暗示进行压倒性或立即破坏的声明可能会彰显实力，但也可能使美国的意图变得模糊。当威慑保持一致并与明确的战略目标挂钩时，威慑效果最佳。
首先要明确威胁。 Iran’s leadership has consistently pursued nuclear capability, advanced its missile program, expanded proxy networks across the region and actively supported U.S. adversaries.这些仍然是他们的目标，并且这些目标不会消失。无论暂时暂停或达成协议，伊朗都将继续追捕它们。
玩
近五十年来，美国政策的重点是减缓伊朗的进步，而不是彻底阻止它。制裁、有限罢工和谈判