市场发布2026 年 7 月 10 日 由于比特币价格走势与石油和美元走强背道而驰,比特币多头接下来面临 65,000 美元的“关键阻力”。 由于美国和伊朗的和平势头使油价走低,比特币(BTC)周五创下 7 月新高。 随着比特币/美元寻求新的多周记录,比特币多头保持上涨势头。 油价下跌和美元走强与加密货币市场反弹形成鲜明对比。 分析称,65,000 美元现在是需要解决的“关键阻力”。 随着美元走强、油价下跌,比特币触及 64,355 美元 TradingView 的数据显示,BTC/美元攀升至 64,000 美元上方,距离新三周高点不到 400 美元。 BTC/美元四小时图。资料来源:/TradingView 由于人们持续希望挽救美伊和平协议,美国 WTI 原油在每桶 76 美元遭到拒绝后保持走低。 美国 WTI 原油一日图差价合约。资料来源:/TradingView 美元强势连续第三天下跌,美元指数(DXY)接近6月中旬以来的最低水平。 美元指数(DXY)一日图。资料来源:/TradingView
贸易公司QCP Capital在评论当前宏观形势时警告称,经济面临的风险仍在增加。它特别强调了美国战略石油储备(SPR)。 “由于没有货币缓冲,实物缓冲更加重要。在石油方面,多哈谈判以没有达成运输协议而结束,7 月 7 日导弹袭击了两艘油轮,霍尔木兹流量仍远低于正常水平,”它在谈到最近的伊朗事件时写道。 “储备看起来更薄:SPR 为 319.5mb,是 1983 年以来的最低水平,距离 300mb 压力区仅剩 19.5mb。” 美国SPR一周图。资料来源:/TradingView QCP 补充说,商业情报公司 Strategy 最近的 BTC 销售表明,不稳定已经蔓延到了加密货币领域。 它补充说:“这在私人信贷领域最为明显,几只基金的赎回请求已经突破了 5% 的季度门槛。” 加密货币市场看起来“一天比一天好” 交易资源 The Koheissi Letter 对长期前景更加乐观,指出美国通胀 2026 年超过 4.5% 的可能性已降至 20% 以下。 相关:比特币 ETF 在新的 8500 万美元净流出中结束了“最压倒性”的 2.7B 美元抛售
“就在 7 周前,今年通胀率有 85% 的可能性升至 4.5% 以上,”该公司周四在 X 帖子中写道,同时还附上了来自预测服务 Polymarket 的数据。 “通胀预期再次下降。” 资料来源:Kobeissi Letter/X 加密货币交易员兼分析师 Michaël van de Poppe 继续指出,油价趋势是整个市场“大幅上涨”的关键因素。 “市场看起来一天比一天好,”他周五告诉 X 关注者。 “比特币再次攻击 65,000 美元的关键阻力位。如果这一阻力位被突破,那么我们将把许多山寨币的下降趋势转变为上升趋势。” 本文根据 的编辑政策制作,仅供参考。它不构成投资建议或推荐。所有投资和交易均存在风险;鼓励读者进行独立研究。 比特币价格 市场分析 比特币
MarketsPublishedJul 10, 2026
Bitcoin bulls faced "crucial resistance" at $65,000 next as BTC price action diverged from oil and US dollar strength.
Bitcoin (BTC) eyed new July highs on Friday as US-Iran peace momentum kept oil lower.
Key points:
Bitcoin bulls keep upside momentum going as BTC/USD seeks a new multi-week record.
Declining oil prices and US dollar strength contrast with crypto market rebound.
$65,000 is now "crucial resistance" to be tackled, says analysis.
Bitcoin reaches $64,350 as dollar strength, oil drop
Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD climbing above $64,000, coming within $400 of new three-week highs.
BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: /TradingView
Amid ongoing hopes that the US-Iran peace deal could be salvaged, US WTI crude oil stayed lower after rejecting from $76 per barrel.
CFDs on US WTI crude oil one-day chart. Source: /TradingView
US dollar strength fell for a third straight day, with the US dollar index (DXY) approaching its lowest figures since mid-June.
US dollar index (DXY) one-day chart. Source: /TradingView
Commenting on the current macro landscape, trading company QCP Capital warned that risks to economies were still growing. It specifically highlighted the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
“With no monetary cushion coming, the physical buffers matter more. In oil, Doha talks ended with no shipping deal and missiles struck two tankers on 7 July, with Hormuz flows still well below normal,” it wrote about recent Iran events.
“The reserve looks thinner still: the SPR is at 319.5mb, its lowest since 1983, leaving just 19.5mb before the 300mb stress zone.”
US SPR one-week chart. Source: /TradingView
QCP added that recent BTC sales by business intelligence company Strategy showed that the instability had spread to crypto.
“It’s clearest in private credit, where redemption requests have blown through the 5% quarterly gates across several funds,” it added.
Crypto markets looking "better day after day"
More optimistic on the longer-term outlook, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted that the odds of US inflation passing 4.5% in 2026 had fallen below 20%.
Related: Bitcoin ETFs end 'most overwhelming' $2.7B sell-off amid new $85M net outflow
“Just 7 weeks ago, there was an 85% chance of inflation rising above 4.5% this year,” it wrote in an X post on Thursday alongside data from prediction service Polymarket.
“Inflation expectations are coming down again.”
Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X
Continuing, crypto trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted the oil-price trend as one key factor for “a lot of upside” across markets.
“The markets look better day after day,” he told X followers on Friday.
“Bitcoin attacking the crucial resistance of $65,000 again. If this breaks, then we’re flipping many downtrends on many Altcoins into uptrends.”
This article is produced in accordance with 's Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.
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