比特币目前交易价格为 62,800 美元,从 7 月 1 日跌破 58,000 美元的跌势中恢复过来,该跌幅引发了人们对跌向 50,000 美元的担忧。
自UTC午夜以来,比特币和以太币均出现下跌,这与长周末后上涨的纳斯达克100指数和标准普尔500指数期货不同。
Lighter (LIT) 正在成为寻求下一个超级流动性的交易者的焦点,其去中心化衍生品交易所 30 天交易量累计 400 亿美元,24 小时内上涨 13.5%,一周内上涨超过 50%。
CoinMarketCap 的山寨币季节指标攀升至 52/100,为三个月来的最高水平。
比特币 BTC$63,439.38 周一交易价格为 62,800 美元,与 7 月 1 日相比出现显着转变,当时比特币跌破 58,000 美元,跌至 2024 年 9 月以来的最低水平,引发了人们对跌向 50,000 美元的担忧。
以太币 (ETH) 也出现了类似的复苏,上周触底 1,550 美元左右后,目前交易价格为 1,760 美元。两种最大的加密货币在周日期货开盘时飙升,但自 UTC 午夜以来已回吐约 1% 的涨幅。
此次回调与传统市场不同,纳斯达克 100 指数和标准普尔 500 指数期货在长周末后分别上涨 1% 和 0.5%。
山寨币市场存在分裂。打火机 (LIT) 继续表现出色,过去一周上涨超过 50%,而 MORPHO 1.9910 美元和 ADA 0.1789 美元在过去 24 小时内均下跌约 4%。
衍生品定位
期货市场稳定,比特币 BTC$63,439.38、以太坊 (ETH)、solana (SOL) 和 XRP (XRP) 的未平仓合约在过去 24 小时内基本没有变化,这可能是由于美国周末延长所致。
LTC$44.17 的未平仓合约已跃升至 714 万个代币,为 5 月 12 日以来的最高水平。目前尚不清楚资本流入是看涨还是看跌。关键指标发出了复杂的信号:积极的资金利率表明看涨情绪,但 24 小时累积交易量增量 (CVD) 已转为负值,表明卖家通过执行市价订单而不是发布被动限价订单更加积极。
由于看涨的代币经济学改革支撑了其价格,Lighter DEX 的 LIT 代币的未平仓合约也在上升,达到一个月高位。
比特币和以太坊的 30 天隐含波动率指数 BVIV 和 EVIV 在每周两位数下跌后仍然面临压力,反映出期权的持续供应。这表明市场状况更加平静的预期,而这往往伴随着价格上涨。
尽管如此,在 Deribit 上,BTC 和 ETH 看跌期权的交易价格仍高于看涨期权,这表明了持续的下行担忧——尽管自上月初以来差距已经缩小。
交易量没有表现出明显的偏差,因为 BTC 的 6 万美元看跌期权和 7 万美元看涨期权是过去 24 小时内交易量最大的行使价之一。
令牌谈话
Lighter (LIT) 周一晚间的巡回演讲继续上涨,自 UTC 午夜以来上涨了 5%,并将其 24 小时涨幅达到 13.5%,随着交易员寻找下一个超级流动性 (HYPE),该势头不断增强。
LIT 是其同名去中心化衍生品交易所的原生代币,据 DefiLlama 称,该交易所在过去 30 天内的交易量已达到 400 亿美元。
PYTH 本周也迎来了一个强劲的开局,自 UTC 午夜以来上涨了 6%,因为交易者将比特币收益转向更具投机性的山寨币押注。
CoinMarketCap 的山寨币季节指标周一升至 52/100,为过去三个月来的最高水平,表明乐观情绪正在重返山寨币行业。
然而,由于包括 JITO、BEAT 和 STABLE 在内的部分市场表现不佳,该指标滞后,过去一周均下跌 5% 至 13%,周一进一步下跌。
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Bitcoin is trading at $62,800, recovering from a July 1 dip below $58,000 that raised concerns of a slide toward $50,000.
Both bitcoin and ether have dropped since midnight UTC, diverging from Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures, which rose after the long weekend.
Lighter (LIT) is emerging as a focal point for traders seeking the next hyperliquid, rising 13.5% in 24 hours and more than 50% in a week as its decentralized derivatives exchange accumulates $40 billion in 30-day trading volume.
CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season indicator climbed to 52/100, its highest in three months.
Bitcoin BTC$63,439.38 is trading at $62,800 on Monday, a notable turnaround from July 1 when it dipped below $58,000 to its lowest level since September 2024 and raised concerns of a slide toward $50,000.
Ether (ETH) staged a similar recovery, trading at $1,760 after bottoming out around $1,550 last week. The two largest cryptocurrencies spiked higher at Sunday's futures open, but have given back around 1% of those gains since midnight UTC.
The pullback represents a divergence from traditional markets, where Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 index futures are trading up 1% and 0.5%, respectively, following the long weekend.
The altcoin market is split. Lighter (LIT) continues to impress, now up more than 50% over the past week, while MORPHO$1.9910 and ADA$0.1789 are both nursing losses of around 4% in the past 24 hours.
Derivatives positioning
The futures market is steady, with open interest in bitcoin BTC$63,439.38, ether (ETH), solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP) largely unchanged over the past 24 hours, likely due to the extended U.S. weekend.
Open interest in LTC$44.17 has jumped to 7.14 million tokens, the most since May 12. It is unclear whether the capital inflow is bullish or bearish. Key indicators are sending mixed signals: Positive funding rates point to bullish sentiment, yet the 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) has turned negative, indicating sellers have been more aggressive by hitting market orders rather than posting passive limit orders.
Open interest in Lighter DEX’s LIT token is also rising, reaching one-month highs as the bullish tokenomics overhaul supports its price.
Bitcoin's and ether’s 30-day implied volatility indices, BVIV and EVIV, remain under pressure after double-digit weekly declines, reflecting continued supply of options. This points to expectations of calmer market conditions, which often accompany price upswings.
Still, on Deribit, BTC and ETH puts continue to trade at a premium to calls, signaling persistent downside concerns — although the gap has narrowed since early last month.
Volumes show no clear bias, as BTC’s $60K put and $70K call rank among the most traded strikes over the past 24 hours.
Token talk
Lighter's (LIT) barnstorming rally of late continued on Monday, adding 5% since midnight UTC and taking its 24-hour gain to 13.5%, building on momentum as traders look for the next hyperliquid (HYPE).
LIT is the native token of its namesake decentralized derivatives exchange, which has racked up $40 billion in trading volume over the past 30 days, according to DefiLlama.
It was also a strong start to the week for PYTH, up by 6% since midnight UTC as traders rotate bitcoin gains into more speculative altcoin bets.
CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season indicator ticked up to 52/100 on Monday, the highest level in the past three months, suggesting optimism is returning to the altcoin sector.
However, that indicator is lagging as a result of poor performance from a portion of the market including JITO, BEAT and STABLE, each having lost between 5% and 13% over the past week with further losses on Monday.
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