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há 26 minutos · 7:40 PMStephen Alpher
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Treasury revokes June waiver on Iranian oil, hitting markets
An attempt at an afternoon rally was cut short minutes ago as the interim peace deal in Iran appears to be teetering.
Following the attack of three ships — reportedly by Iran — in the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. Treasury has revoked a waiver put in place in June that allowed the sale of Iranian oil.
The price of WTI crude oil has spiked more than 5% to $72.11 per barrel and U.S. Treasury yields have jumped higher.
U.S. stocks, which had been attempting to rally in afternoon trading, sank back near session lows, the Nasdaq down 1.3%.
Bitcoin has slipped to $63,600 from $64,100.
há 1 hora · 6:44 PMStephen Alpher
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SK Hynix U.S. IPO massively oversubscribed: Bloomberg
South Korean memory-chip maker SK Hynix's U.S. IPO — set for Thursday — is multiple times oversubscribed, reports Bloomberg.
The company — valued at more than $1 trillion after massive gains over the past year — is expected to raise about $28 billion, which would make it the largest-ever U.S. capital raise by a foreign issuer.
há 1 hora · 6:28 PMStephen Alpher
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Stocks pull off worst levels as bitcoin continues to flirt with $64,000
The Nasdaq has narrowed what was more than a 1.5% decline to just 0.5% about 90 minutes before the close.
The AI trade remains sharply lower, but gains for the hyperscalers are helping the overall average. Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta are all higher by 1%-2%.
Bitcoin is trading in a tight range around the $64,000 level.
3:05 p.m., July 7Stephen Alpher
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Hint of bullish divergence in crypto
"After holding the lows during extreme Saylor fears, some [bullish divergence] shown on momentum indicators, and relative strength shown to equities last few days," wrote well-followed analyst Will Clemente minutes ago. "With implied volatility floored, most interesting spot for crypto in a while here."
Bitcoin has risen to $63,400 even as the Nasdaq remains near session lows, down 1.4%.
2:46 p.m., July 7Stephen Alpher
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Bitcoin slips below $63,000 as AI favorites plunge on Tuesday
The Nasdaq is lower by "just" 1.5% in morning U.S. trade Tuesday, but that's masking far steeper declines in AI infrastructure favorites.
Micron, Intel, AMD, Applied Materials, SanDisk and KLA Corp. are among the names that are lower by 9%-12%.
That, in turn, is pressuring crypto prices, with bitcoin dipping to $62,900 after having risen above $64,000 overnight. Bitcoin, however, is still higher by 1.2% over the past 24 hours.
Ether is higher by 1% over the last day, while XRP has turned negative by 1% over that time frame.
The spectacular gains in AI are conventionally thought to have drawn investor attention and capital away from crypto in recent months. To the extent that it reverses for an extended period of time, might some of that money return to crypto?
2:26 p.m., July 7Helene Braun
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Vanguard job ad suggests fund manager leaning into crypto
Vanguard is hiring a head of digital assets to lead its crypto strategy, signaling a potential shift for the $10 trillion asset manager after years of hostility toward crypto.
The executive will develop Vanguard Personal Wealth's digital asset roadmap and oversee initiatives spanning tokenization, stablecoins, custody and blockchain infrastructure, according to a job posting.
Vanguard only began allowing customers to trade crypto ETFs and mutual funds in December last year and said it had no plans to launch its own crypto products. The new hire could signal that the stance is changing.
2:12 p.m., July 7Krisztian Sandor
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Securitize extends decline following public debut
BlackRock-backed tokenization platform Securitize (SECZ) is down another 10% Tuesday, extending losses to roughly 30% since completing its merger with special purpose acquisition company Cantor Equity Partners II last week.
The decline adds to a broader pullback across newly public digital asset companies.
For example, crypto custodian BitGo (BTGO) has fallen more than 70% since its February IPO.
1:01 p.m., July 7Stephen Alpher
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NY Fed's Williams optimistic on inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams doesn't appear to be considering a rate hike at the U.S. central bank's next policy meeting in July.
Monetary policy is in a good place at the moment, said Williams in a Tuesday morning appearance on Fox News.
While inflation remains high, Williams said the recent retreat in energy prices should mean a decline in headline numbers. He also said the effect of tariffs on inflation is close to topping out.
His remarks aren't having much effect on markets, which were already in the process of ruling out a July rate hike. The odds of a tightening move by the September meeting, though, remain close to 60%.
12:26 p.m., July 7Stephen Alpher
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Wall Street is bullish as sell-side begins coverage of Space X
With the 25-day quiet period following the IPO having concluded, Wall Street on Tuesday is launching coverage on SpaceX (SPCX). To no one's surprise, the sell-side is overwhelmingly bullish.
The two lead underwriters — Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley — both gave SpaceX buy-equivalent ratings, though Goldman's Eric Sheridan set just a $205 price target, while Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas gave the stock a $300 target.
SPCX shares are flat premarket at $160, remaining nicely higher than the $135 IPO price.
Other buys, or buy-equivalent ratings, are coming from Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche, JPMorgan, Macquarie, RBC, UBS, and Wells Fargo.
The highest price target so far appears to be $800 from Raymond James' Brian Gesuale, who initiated with a strong buy rating.
"We see the company as one of the defining industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century," wrote Gesuale and team.
11:42 a.m., July 7James Van Straten
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Samsung's soaring profit fails to impress after AI chip rally
Samsung (005930) missed Q2 2026 revenue estimates, reporting $113 billion against a consensus of $113.9 billion. Despite posting a record operating profit of $59.1 billion, a 19-fold year-over-year surge fueled by AI memory demand.
Samsung fell 7% on Tuesday, while the effect extended across the memory sector, with leading peers Micron Technology (MU) and Sandisk (SNDK) both falling 6% in pre-market trading. While the Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM) is also down 6%.
The outlook, however, remains strong, analysts expect memory chip shortages to persist through at least 2027, and DRAM selling prices rose more than 40% in the April to June quarter alone
11:14 a.m., July 7Omkar Godbole
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Big HYPE options trade points to expectations for price consolidation below $70
Activity in HYPE options listed on decentralized exchange Derive has picked up this week, with some traders betting on boring price action below $70 over the next couple of weeks.
A sizeable long call condor involving 400,000 contracts has stood out in the options tape. The structure buys the 70 call, sells the 75 and 80 calls, and buys the 85 call, all in the July 24 expiry, according to data source Laevitas.
The setup delivers maximum profit if HYPE finishes between $75 and $80 at expiry on July 24. It points to traders expecting the price to stay calm and range-bound in that zone over the coming weeks.
8:07 a.m., July 7Omkar Godbole
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USDT's dominance rate slips from four-year high
USDT's dominance rate, which measures the leading stablecoin’s share of the total crypto market, has pulled back from four-year highs, a positive sign for bitcoin (BTC) and other tokens.
The dominance rate now stands at 8.54%, down from a peak of 9.35% hit last month. That was the highest level since the second half of 2022, according to TradingView data.
USDT is widely viewed as a tokenized version of the U.S. dollar, the world’s reserve and safe-haven currency that typically attracts capital during periods of economic or market stress.
As a result, rising USDT dominance is often associated with market downturns, while declining dominance tends to signal renewed risk appetite across the broader crypto market.
6:51 a.m., July 7Shaurya Malwa
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Bitcoin and ether ETFs drew fresh inflows Monday as the bid starts to return
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs pulled in $265.69 million on Monday, the largest daily inflow in over a month and the second in three sessions after July 2 broke a long run of outflows, per SoSoValue data. Ether ETFs added $20.66 million the same day, led by BlackRock's ETHA at $23.29 million.
BlackRock's IBIT absorbed $209.40 million of the bitcoin total, with ARKB taking in $32.98 million and Grayscale's mini BTC fund adding $42.25 million. GBTC shed $44.45 million, the only fund in the red.
The daily turn has not fixed the weekly picture yet. Spot bitcoin ETFs still lost a net $526.6 million over the shortened holiday week, an eighth straight week of negative flows. Ether ETFs lost $13.7 million on the week.
Total bitcoin ETF assets climbed back to $77.32 billion from a June 30 low of $70.95 billion, helped by both the price recovery and the returning bid. Bitcoin traded near $63,200 as the data landed, per CoinDesk data.