今天早上,Strategy 宣布在以高得多的价格买入 3,657 BTC 几天后,又卖出 3,588 BTC。
Strategy 在 5 月底出售 32 枚比特币,导致加密货币市场暴跌,上周 BTC 从近 74,000 美元跌至 58,000 美元以下。
该公司第二季度持有的比特币亏损 83.2 亿美元。
Strategy (MSTR) 最近的比特币交易表明,该公司正试图在比特币 BTC 63,487.02 美元的熊市下滑中找到立足点,这引发了对其资本市场策略的质疑。
除了今天发布的价值 2.16 亿美元的比特币销售消息外,该公司还透露,由于比特币价格从 4 月 1 日的约 68,000 美元下跌至 6 月收盘时的约 60,000 美元,第二季度其持有的比特币出现了 83.1 亿美元的“未实现”损失。但“已实现”损失为 90 万美元。当资产总价值在资产负债表上贬值而不出售时,就会发生未实现损失。当资产以低于其账面价值的价格出售时,已实现的损失记入账面。
迄今为止数十亿“账面损失”的罪魁祸首是比特币价格从 5 月底的 74,000 美元(当时 Strategy 出售了 32 个比特币)急剧下跌至上周的 58,000 美元以下。 7 月 4 日周末反弹至 64,000 美元左右的反弹因周一 3,558 枚比特币的抛售而缩短。在此期间,Michael Saylor 和团队以高得多的价格购买了 3,657 个比特币。
有趣的是,加密货币交易商 KALEO 在 X 上表示,经过过去几周的一系列购买和销售,尽管该公司部署了约 2000 万美元的额外资本,但仅净增加了 69 个比特币。KALEO 补充道,由于该公司出售的代币低于最近支付的价格,因此这些额外持有的比特币的隐含平均成本超过了每枚比特币 289,000 美元。
Strategy 目前持有 843,775 枚比特币,平均价格为 75,476 美元,保持其作为加密货币最大上市公司持有者的地位。
尽管出现了亏损,但今天出售价值数百万美元比特币的举动可能会向投资者发出这样的信号:Strategy 将不遗余力地保护其高收益优先股 Stretch (STRC) 的股息,该股股息在最近上涨 50 个基点后目前为 12%。
事实上,虽然比特币和 Strategy 的普通股 MSTR 周一走低,但 STRC 继续从上周低于 75 美元的低点反弹,再上涨 2.1% 至略低于 90 美元。
“策略”
鉴于过去几周战略的曲折,该公司的近期资本配置变得更加难以让投资者预测。假设 BTC、MSTR 和 STRC 的价格相对稳定,可以肯定地说,在可预见的未来,购买比特币是不可能的。
如果这是真的,这对塞勒和他的团队来说将是一个重要的支点,因为他一直是不惜一切代价购买比特币并且从不出售比特币的最直言不讳的支持者之一。
至于销售,Strategy 目前的现金储备超过了 17 个月的股息覆盖率。在优先股投资者中,拥有 18 个月或以上投资期限的公司被认为处于有利地位。虽然未来几周可能会有更多的比特币销售,但如果市场没有再次出现大幅波动,或者 Strategy 的融资需求没有发生额外的变化,那么销售规模似乎需要受到限制。
虽然Strategy的“策略”对投资者来说一直是一个猜谜游戏,但比特币的底线可能是Michael Saylor的公司可能不会提供有助于定义数字资产牛市叙事的稳定购买。然而,最新的比特币处置也可能意味着,如果它为公司提供足够的现金来支持其股息义务,那么它会减少进一步大规模销售的需求。
微策略
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比特币$63,439.38
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Strategy this morning announced the sale of 3,588 BTC just days after buying 3,657 BTC at far higher prices.
Strategy's sale of 32 bitcoin in late May sent crypto markets plunging, with BTC falling from nearly $74,000 to below $58,000 last week.
The company booked an $8.32 billion loss on its bitcoin holdings in the second quarter.
Strategy's (MSTR) recent bitcoin trades suggest the company is attempting to find its footing amid bitcoin's BTC$63,487.02 bear-market slide, which raises questions about its capital markets strategy.
Alongside today's news of $216 million worth of bitcoin sales, the company also disclosed that it had booked an "unrealized" loss of $8.31 billion on its bitcoin holdings in the second quarter as the price fell from about $68,000 on April 1 to close June at roughly $60,000. While it took a "realized" loss of $0.9 million. An unrealized loss occurs when the total value of an asset depreciates on the balance sheet, without selling it. Realized losses are booked when assets are sold at a price lower than their carrying amount.
The main culprit for the billions of "paper losses" thus far has been a dramatic decline in the price of bitcoin from $74,000 in late May — when Strategy sold a tiny 32 bitcoin — to below $58,000 last week. A bounce back to about the $64,000 over the July 4 weekend was cut short Monday by the sale of 3,558 bitcoin. In between, Michael Saylor and team purchased 3,657 bitcoin at significantly higher prices.
Interestingly, after a series of buys and sales over the past few weeks, the company is left with a net increase of only 69 bitcoin despite deploying roughly $20 million in additional capital, a crypto trader, KALEO, said on X. Because the company sold coins below the prices it had recently paid, the implied average cost of those additional holdings exceeded $289,000 per bitcoin, KALEO added.
Strategy now holds 843,775 bitcoin purchased at an average price of $75,476, maintaining its position as the largest publicly traded corporate holder of the cryptocurrency.
Despite the losses, today's move to sell millions of dollars' worth of bitcoin will likely signal to investors that Strategy will go to whatever lengths necessary to protect its dividends on its high-yielding preferred stock, Stretch (STRC), whose dividend now stands at 12% after a recent 50 basis-point increase.
Indeed, while bitcoin and Strategy's common stock, MSTR, are lower on Monday, STRC continues to rebound from last week's low below $75, rising another 2.1% to just shy of $90.
The 'strategy'
Given the zigzags in strategy over the past few weeks, the company's near-term capital allocation has become harder for investors to predict. Assuming relatively stable prices for BTC, MSTR, and STRC, it's probably safe to say that bitcoin buys are off the table for the foreseeable future.
If that's true, it would be a big pivot for Saylor and his team, given that he has been one of the most vocal proponents for buying bitcoin at any cost and never selling it.
As for sales, Strategy now has cash reserves exceeding 17 months of dividend coverage. Among preferred stock investors, companies with 18 months or more of coverage are considered to be in a good spot. While there may be more bitcoin sales in the coming weeks, they would seem to need to be limited in size, absent another sharp move in the markets or additional shift in Strategy's financing needs.
While Strategy's "strategy" has been a guessing game for investors, the bottom line for bitcoin may be that Michael Saylor's company likely won't provide the steady buying that helped define the digital asset's bull-market narrative. However, the latest bitcoin disposition may also mean that it reduces the need for any further large sales, if it provides the company with enough cash to support its dividend obligations.
MicroStrategy
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