一只休眠鲸鱼在持有 7 年后转移了价值 1.88 亿美元的比特币,这使得鲸鱼转移到加密货币交易所的比例不断增加。 最近几天,当比特币交易价格接近 6,500 美元时,一个钱包最后一次活跃,转移了其持有的 1.88 亿美元资产,这是七年来的首次链上转移。 据区块链数据平台 Arkham 称,目前最大的加密货币交易价格约为 64,000 美元,鲸鱼周日从钱包“356my”转移了 2,931 比特币(BTC)到钱包地址“bc1qn”。 根据区块链分析平台 Onchain Lens 的数据,鲸鱼长期休眠的持仓量可能会上涨近 10 倍。 此次交易发生之际,鲸鱼转账(每个 Coinglass 至少 1000 万美元)占流向加密货币交易所的比特币的大部分。大量鲸鱼转移到交易所通常先于销售,这可能会给比特币的价格带来额外的压力。 加密钱包地址 356my,交易和代币余额历史记录。来源:阿卡姆 即将进入鲸鱼年
自今年年初以来,鲸鱼一直推动大部分比特币流入加密货币交易所。 根据 CryptoQuant 追踪鲸鱼转移到交易所的比率的图表,目前存入交易所的 BTC 大约 99% 来自前 10 个最大的个人转移,截至发稿时该比率为 0.99。 比特币:交易所鲸鱼比率 - 所有交易所,年初至今的图表。来源:CryptoQuant 该分析平台表示,高换手率意味着鲸鱼在资金流入中所占的份额不成比例,这“在历史上是一个看跌信号”,因为这些大额存款更有可能先于重大卖单,而不是常规零售活动。 相关:Strategy 以 2.16 亿美元的价格出售 3,588 个比特币,为股息提供资金,并保持 2.55B 美元的储备完好无损 鲸鱼转移可能会增加现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)持有者持续的比特币抛售压力。 比特币 ETF 流量(百万美元)。资料来源:Farside 投资者 根据 Farside Investors 的数据,截至周五,美国交易的现货比特币 ETF 每周净流入 1.97 亿美元,但 6 月份净流出 45.1 亿美元,创下有记录以来最糟糕的月份。
杂志:比特币接近熊市后期:Jamie Coutts,Real Vision
A dormant whale transferred BTC worth $188 million after seven years of holding, adding to the growing ratio of whale transfers to cryptocurrency exchanges.
A wallet last active when Bitcoin was trading near $6,500 transferred $188 million of its holdings in recent days, its first onchain movement in seven years.
With the biggest cryptocurrency now trading at around $64,000 apiece, the whale transferred 2,931 Bitcoin (BTC) from wallet "356my" to wallet address "bc1qn" on Sunday, according to blockchain data platform Arkham.
The whale is likely looking at a nearly 10-fold gain on the long-dormant holdings, according to blockchain analytics platform Onchain Lens.
The transaction comes during a period when whale transfers — those at a minimum of $10 million per Coinglass — are accounting for the majority of Bitcoin flowing to cryptocurrency exchanges. Large whale transfers to exchanges often precede sales, which can place additional pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Crypto wallet address 356my, transactions and token balance history. Source: Arkham
Fast becoming year of the whale
Whales have been driving most of the Bitcoin inflows to cryptocurrency exchanges since the beginning of the year.
About 99% of BTC deposited to exchanges is currently from the 10 largest individual transfers, according to CryptoQuant's chart tracking the ratio of whale transfers to exchanges, which stood at 0.99 at press time.
Bitcoin: Exchange Whale Ratio - all exchanges, year-to-date chart. Source: CryptoQuant
A high exchange ratio means that whales account for a disproportionate share of inflows, which is “historically a bearish signal” as these large deposits are more likely to precede significant sell orders than routine retail activity, according to the analytics platform.
Related: Strategy sells 3,588 Bitcoin for $216M to fund dividends, keeps $2.55B reserve intact
The whale transfers may add to the persistent Bitcoin selling pressure from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) holders.
Bitcoin ETF Flow (USD, million). Source: Farside Investors
US-traded spot Bitcoin ETFs registered $197 million in net weekly inflows leading up to Friday, but saw $4.51 billion in net outflows in June, marking their worst month on record, according to Farside Investors data.
Magazine: Bitcoin nearing late stages of bear market: Jamie Coutts, Real Vision