所表达的分析和观点仅代表他自己,并不一定反映 Decrypt 的观点。并查看我们新的每日新闻节目,在 5 分钟内涵盖所有头条新闻,可在 Apple Pod 或 Spotify 上下载。
总经理!
今日头条新闻:
假期周末加密货币专业呈绿色; BTC 反弹至 6.3 万美元,HYPE 触及 71 美元
Robinhood 整合后一周,LIT 飙升近 50%,领先山寨币
BTC ETF 周四转向净流入,打破连续流出趋势
ANSEM 跃升至 3.5 亿美元并进入加密货币前 100 名
Daniel Sundheim 斥资 220 万美元收购 22 个 CryptoPunk,打造史诗般的收藏
📈 加密货币在假期周末飙升,ETF 流量翻绿
7 月 4 日假期周末,加密货币专业股大幅走高,在美国市场休市时,周线图呈绿色。
比特币重回 63,000 美元以上的高位,本周上涨 5%,但山寨币领涨。
ETH +12% 至 1,770 美元
SOL +11% 至 81 美元
炒作 +12% 至 71 美元
ZEC +16% 至 450 美元
下游领域,LIT 带领大多数山寨股上涨 44%,至 2.50 美元,并在与 Robinhood 整合后创下当地新高。
总体而言,前 20 名资产的 CMC20 指数上涨约 9%。
有两个因素是逆转的关键。首先,周四发布的 6 月份就业报告疲软,就业人数仅为 57,000 人,而预期约为 113,000 人,缓解了加息担忧,并为风险资产提供了运行空间。其次,也是更重要的是,ETF 资金流向发生了逆转。在 6 月份创纪录的 4B+ 美元亏损之后,现货比特币 ETF 于 7 月 2 日转向净流入 2.235 亿美元。ETH ETF 连续两天呈绿色,7 月 1 日增加了约 1500 万美元,7 月 2 日增加了 2900 万美元。决定 6 月崩溃的机构抛售首次显示出真正的逆转迹象。
这次反弹是从 7 月份开盘的 21 个月低点 57,950 美元开始的,此前比特币经历了自 2018 年和 2022 年以来最糟糕的上半年。鲸鱼整个月都在吸收 ETF 的抛售,在两周内买入了约 167 亿美元的 BTC,这种背离在接近底部时就出现了。 ETF 翻绿是多头所等待的。
Saylor 的生态系统在比特币上涨中也得到了一些可喜的缓解,STRC 在触及 70 美元附近的低点后,本周上涨 21% 至 87.87 美元。 MSTR 股价也反弹 21%,重回 100 美元。
现在,一两天的绿日并不能消除创纪录的流出月。但山寨币跑赢比特币是一个典型的风险偏好表现,几周来首次出现流量图上升的情况。现在我们观察当流动性完全恢复时它是否成立。
🌎 宏观加密货币和市场
加密货币专业持平,HYPE 领先; BTC 价格甚至达到 6.2 万美元; ETH 甚至达到 1,747 美元; SOL 价格甚至为 80 美元;炒作 +2%,价格为 70 美元
DEXE (+15%)、LAB (+9%) 和 LIT (+8%) 领涨
石油价格甚至为 68 美元;黄金上涨 1%,收于 4,170 美元
随着芯片股反弹,股指期货呈绿色;道指持平,纳斯达克指数上涨 1%
特朗普总统在披露 2025 年收益超过 10 亿美元后为他的加密货币企业辩护,反击了利益冲突的批评,因为民主党再次呼吁禁止政客及其家人进入该行业
在两大执法团体改变立场后,《清晰法案》通过的几率一度飙升至 55%,但此后又回落至 44%;现在距离 8 月 7 日参议院暑假的关键最后期限只剩下 1 个月了
Vitalik Buterin 概述了以太坊的“精益以太坊”路线图,这是一项 3-4 年计划,旨在使递归 STARK 成为本机验证层,将剩余的量子脆弱加密技术替换为后量子替代方案,引入到 2030 年达到 100 TB 的“可扩展状态”类型,以将部分交易成本降低 10 倍以上,并探索 RISC-V 或 LeanISA VM 来实现可编程隐私
比特币矿工压力达到历史罕见水平,矿工周期压力综合指数跌至 2026 年新低并进入“被低估”区间,该水平此前曾在 2015 年、2018 年、2020 年、2022 年和 2024 年出现在主要底部附近
企业国库券和ETF
比特币 ETF 周四净流入 2.23 亿美元(尽管本周净流出 5.27 亿美元);周四 ETH ETF 流入 2900 万美元(本周流出 1300 万美元)
STRC 周四反弹至 89.17 美元,本周上涨 21%
Meme 硬币追踪器
Meme 领袖本周非常环保; DOGE +6%、SHIB +4%、PEPE +15%、PENGU +8%、TRUMP 甚至、BONK +11%
ANSEM 本周飙升 300% 至 3.5 亿美元 FDV,使其成为 FDV 排名前 100 的代币
LEVI (+180x)、ZERO (+48%) 和 JOBY (+430%) 引领 Solana 的推动者
基本推动者包括 SYND (+30%) 和 LFI (+30%)
📈 当天的无数市场
💰 代币、空投和协议追踪器
夏季金融在周末被利用,迄今已耗尽 600 万美元
自上周发布股票公告以来,VVV 已下跌 20%,目前交易价格为 11.56 美元
🚚 NFT 发生了什么?
周末,NFT 领导者大多是绿色的; Punks +4% 为 32.4 ETH,BAYC +5% 为 9.2 ETH,Pudgy 甚至为 4.5 ETH; Hypurr 的 HYPE 值达到 220 时 +2%
Murakami Flowers (+29%) 和 Masks of Luci (+17%) 领涨
Daniel Sundheim 在过去一周斥资 220 万美元收购了 22 Punks,打造了现存最好的收藏之一
每日简报时事通讯
以及原创专题、播客、视频等开始。
Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. And check out our new daily news show covering all of the top stories in 5 minutes, downloadable on Apple Pod or Spotify.
GM!
Today’s top news:
Crypto majors green over holiday weekend; BTC rebounds to $63k, HYPE hits $71
LIT soars nearly 50% on the week following Robinhood integration, leads alts
BTC ETFs flip to net inflows on Thursday, breaking outflow streak
ANSEM jumps to $350M and enters crypto top 100
Daniel Sundheim spends $2.2M acquiring 22 CryptoPunks in epic collection build
📈 Crypto Surges Over the Holiday Weekend as ETF Flows Flip Green
Crypto majors ripped higher over the July 4 holiday weekend, painting the weekly board green while US markets sat closed.
Bitcoin climbed back to highs over $63,000, up 5% on the week, but the alts led the charge.
ETH +12% to $1,770
SOL +11% to $81
HYPE +12% to $71
ZEC +16% to $450
Downstream, LIT led most alts up 44% to $2.50 and a new local high after its Robinhood integration.
Broadly, the CMC20 index of the top 20 assets rose about 9%.
Two factors were key in the reversal. First, Thursday’s soft June jobs report, just 57,000 payrolls against roughly 113,000 expected, eased rate-hike fears and gave risk assets room to run. Second, and more importantly, the ETF flows flipped. After bleeding a record $4B+ in June, spot Bitcoin ETFs swung to a $223.5 million net inflows on July 2. ETH ETFs were green two days running, adding about $15 million on July 1 and $29 million on July 2. The institutional selling that defined June’s collapse showed its first real signs of reversing.
This bounce comes off a 21-month low of $57,950 to open July, after Bitcoin’s worst first half since 2018 and 2022. Whales had been absorbing the ETF selling all month, buying roughly $16.7 billion of BTC over two weeks, the kind of divergence that has shown up near past bottoms. The ETFs flipping green is the piece bulls were waiting for.
Saylor’s ecosystem caught some welcome relief in the Bitcoin rally as well, with STRC jumping 21% to $87.87 to end the week after hitting lows near $70. And MSTR stock rebounded 21% as well, reclaiming $100.
Now, one or two green days don’t undo a record-outflow month. But alts outrunning Bitcoin is a classic risk-on tell, and for the first time in weeks, the flow picture points up. Now we watch whether it holds when full liquidity returns.
🌎 Macro Crypto and Markets
Crypto majors are flat, with HYPE leading; BTC even at $62k; ETH even at $1,747; SOL even at $80; HYPE +2% at $70
DEXE (+15%), LAB (+9%) and LIT (+8%) led top movers
Oil even at $68; Gold +1% at $4,170
Stock futures are green as chip stocks rebound; DOW flat, Nasdaq +1%
President Trump defended his crypto ventures after his disclosure showed over $1 billion in 2025 earnings, pushing back on conflict-of-interest criticism as Democrats renew calls to bar politicians and their families from the industry
Odds of the CLARITY Act passing briefly surged to 55% after two major law enforcement groups shifted their stance, but has since retraced to 44%; now only 1 month remains until the key Aug 7 deadline marking the Senate summer break
Vitalik Buterin outlined Ethereum's "Lean Ethereum" roadmap, a 3-4-year plan to make recursive STARKs a native verification layer, swap remaining quantum-vulnerable cryptography for post-quantum alternatives, introduce a "scalable state" type reaching 100 TB by 2030 to cut some transaction costs more than 10x, and explore RISC-V or leanISA VMs for programmable privacy
Bitcoin miner stress hit a historically rare level, with the Miner Cycle Stress Composite falling to a new 2026 low and entering its "undervalued" range, a level that previously showed up near major bottoms in 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024
Corporate Treasuries & ETFs
The Bitcoin ETFs saw $223M in net inflows on Thursday (though $527M net outflows on the week); the ETH ETFs saw $29M in inflows on Thursday ($13M outflows for the week)
STRC rebounded to $89.17 on Thursday, up 21% on the week
Meme Coin Tracker
Meme leaders were very green on the week; DOGE +6%, SHIB +4%, PEPE +15%, PENGU +8%, TRUMP even, BONK +11%
ANSEM soared 300% on the week to $350M FDV, making it a top 100 token by FDV
LEVI (+180x), ZERO (+48%) and JOBY (+430%) led movers on Solana
Base movers included SYND (+30%) and LFI (+30%)
📈 Myriad Market of the Day
💰 Token, Airdrop & Protocol Tracker
Summer Finance was exploited over the weekend with $6M drained so far
VVV has fallen 20% since its equity announcement last week, now trading at $11.56
🚚 What is happening in NFTs?
NFT leaders were mostly green over the weekend; Punks +4% at 32.4 ETH, BAYC +5% at 9.2 ETH, Pudgy even at 4.5 ETH; Hypurr’s +2% at 220 HYPE
Murakami Flowers (+29%) and Masks of Luci (+17%) led top movers
Daniel Sundheim spent $2.2M acquiring 22 Punks over the past week, building one of the best collections in existence
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