美洲加密日记 2026 年 7 月 13 日天气预报 Yazan Francisco Rodrigues|编辑 Sheldon Reback 2026 年 13 月 11:20 AI tarafından çevrildi 帕拉斯 布玛卡莱伊·帕拉斯 美国和伊朗的新一轮空袭推动了避险情绪。 (Venti 视图/Unsplash) 这是 时事通讯“Daybook”的摘录。 由于周末美国和伊朗相互空袭后出现了更广泛的避险情绪,比特币自UTC时间午夜以来下跌超过1%,目前徘徊在63,000美元附近。 由于新的战斗引发了人们对通过重要石油通道霍尔木兹海峡的运输的担忧,布伦特原油期货上涨超过 3%,接近每桶 79 美元。能源价格上涨增加了通胀压力,并缩小了宽松货币政策的范围,这一点在早期石油危机期间曾对比特币造成压力。 Kula 数字资产主管 Taran Dhillon 告诉 :“本周,加密市场将经历宏观和地缘政治之间的‘拉锯战’。”
迪隆表示,本周公布的美国通胀数据将影响利率预期。 尽管如此,现货比特币和以太坊 ETF 刚刚打破了连续八周的资金流出,这表明对这两种最大的加密货币的需求不断增长。 迪隆指出,随着《澄清法案》的推进,监管的明确性可能会带来更多的推动力。他说,虽然道德条款仍在讨论中,但“即使是渐进的进展也很重要”。 Dhillon 补充道:“多年来,市场一直在考虑监管的不确定性;在数字资产如何分类和监管方面迈出的每一步都明确了数字资产的分类和监管方式,从而减少了折扣,并使机构资本更容易承保该资产类别。” 交易员将关注周二公布的消费者物价指数和周三公布的生产者物价指数,以获取有关美联储下一步行动的信号。保持警惕! 什么是趋势 在牛市一周后,获利回吐、中东敌对行动拖累加密货币走低():周一亚洲和欧洲时段,加密货币市场回落,比特币跌至 63,100 美元。油价下跌反映出,随着伊朗和美国争夺霍尔木兹海峡的控制权,中东局势再度紧张。
比特币 BIP 110 分叉截止日期临近,矿工支持为零 ():一项从比特币区块链中清除非金融数据的提案正面临 8 月初的严格截止日期,而它从矿工那里获得的初步支持还不到 1%。 由于新的军事打击威胁霍尔木兹海峡的运输,油价上涨超过 2%(路透社):中东袭击加剧后,油价飙升超过 2%,再次引发人们对通过霍尔木兹海峡的运输的担忧。布伦特原油期货价格为 77.68 美元,西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格为 73.00 美元。 今天的信号 该图表显示了几年来比特币的每周蜡烛价格。 虽然价格已从 58,000 美元附近的支撑位(即 0.618 斐波那契回撤位)反弹,但仍处于较低高点的更广泛下降趋势内。 目前最大的加密货币交易价格约为 63,000 美元,上行的关键阻力位为 66,000 美元和 68,900 美元。 RSI 位于 38 左右,疲软,但没有明显的背离来表明趋势逆转。 美洲加密日记
Crypto Daybook Americas
Your day-ahead look for July 13, 2026
Yazan Francisco Rodrigues|Editör Sheldon Reback
13 Tem 2026 öö 11:20 AI tarafından çevrildi
2 min read
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Renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes drive risk-off sentiment. (Venti Views/Unsplash)
This is an excerpt from newsletter 'Daybook.'
Bitcoin is hovering near $63,000 after falling more than 1% since midnight UTC amid a wider wave of risk-off sentiment following the U.S. and Iran mutual airstrikes over the weekend.
Brent crude futures rose more than 3% to approach $79 a barrel as the renewed fighting raised concerns over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil passageway. Higher energy prices add inflationary pressure and reduce the scope for easier monetary policy, a link that weighed on bitcoin during earlier oil shocks.
"This week, crypto markets will experience a 'tug-of-war' between macro and geopolitics," Taran Dhillon, head of digital assets at Kula, told .
U.S. inflation data coming this week will shape interest-rate expectations, Dhillon said.
Still, spot bitcoin and ether ETFs just broke eight-week streaks of outflows, a sign of growing demand for the two largest cryptocurrencies.
Regulatory clarity may add further tailwinds, Dhillon noted, as the Clarity Act advances. While ethics provisions are still being discussed, "even incremental progress matters," he said.
"Markets have been pricing in regulatory uncertainty for years; every step toward clarity on how digital assets are classified and overseen reduces that discount and makes the asset class easier for institutional capital to underwrite," Dhillon added.
Traders will be watching Tuesday's CPI release and Wednesday’s PPI for signals on the Federal Reserve’s next move. Stay alert!
What’s trending
Profit-taking, MidEast hostilities drag crypto lower after bullish week (): The crypto market pulled back during Asian and European hours on Monday, with bitcoin falling to $63,100. The drops reflected renewed Middle East tensions as Iran and the U.S. fought over control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Bitcoin’s BIP 110 fork deadline nears with miner support at zero (): A proposal to purge non-financial data from the Bitcoin blockchain is heading toward a hard deadline in early August, and the initial support it has gathered from miners is less than 1%.
Oil gains over 2% as fresh military strikes threaten Hormuz shipments (Reuters): Oil prices surged more than 2% after attacks intensified in the Middle East, renewing concerns of shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures were priced at $77.68, and West Texas Intermediate at $73.00.
Today’s signal
The chart shows bitcoin's price in weekly candles for several years.
While the price has bounced off the support level near $58,000 — the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement — it remains within a broader downtrend of lower highs.
The largest cryptocurrency is currently trading around $63,000, with key resistance levels to watch on the upside at $66,000 and $68,900.
RSI sits at ~38, weak but with no meaningful divergence to flag a trend reversal.
Crypto Daybook Americas