渣打银行认为,最大的数字资产财务公司面临的沟通挑战在短期内会给比特币“搅浑水”。 Strategy联合创始人兼董事长迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)周日再次在社交媒体上向投资者发出最新信号,尽管一位分析师表示,塞勒的信息需要更加清晰,以帮助比特币重拾势头。 “橙色点只讲述了故事的一部分,”Saylor 在 Saylortracker.com 附有一张图表的帖子中写道,这与之前在 Strategy 购买比特币 (BTC) 消息之前发布的社交媒体消息类似,通常是在他发帖后的第二天宣布。
最近几周,最大的数字资产财务公司和主要 BTC 持有者已经放弃了长期以来“从不出售比特币”的做法,而是愿意根据需要出售最大的加密货币,为其 STRC 优先股持有人提供股息并补充其现金储备。根据 7 月 6 日向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件,本月早些时候,Strategy 出售了价值 2.16 亿美元的比特币,将其总持有量减少至 843,775 枚。 “橙色点只讲述了故事的一部分。”资料来源:迈克尔·塞勒 几天前,Strategy 公布了一个资本框架,允许比特币销售为股息提供资金,将其 STRC 优先股的年度股息率提高至 12%,并披露其美元储备已增至 25.5 亿美元。 渣打银行数字资产研究全球主管杰夫·肯德里克 (Geoff Kendrick) 表示,Strategy 近期的行动以及 Saylor 的沟通方式“正在让 BTC 的近期局势变得更加混乱”。
肯德里克在周五给客户的一份报告中写道:“我们认为,有效沟通 MSTR 的新策略(使用 BTC 来支持 STRC)是让市场放心批发销售不太可能的关键;这反过来应该会支撑 BTC 价格。”他表示:“事实上,如果这一信号被证明有效,那么 MSTR 就不需要通过支持 STRC 的价格来实际出售任何 BTC。” 相关:Crypto Biz:Michael Saylor 是否曾经在比特币底部买入过一次? 渣打银行认为“永不出售”的做法存在不一致之处 肯德里克表示,Strategy 长期坚持的“永不出售”方针限制了该公司利用其行业最大的数字资产库的能力。 渣打银行分析师表示:“‘永不出售’做法的问题在于,它限制了 MSTR 持有的 BTC 的用途,或者更重要的是,限制了他们被认为正在做的事情。” “近几个月来,MSTR 已开始改变其沟通策略。它已两次出售 BTC,并于最近宣布了 BTC 货币化计划。” 资料来源:渣打银行
尽管如此,他认为 Strategy 的“市场信号”可能很快就会改善,并使比特币的前景更加清晰,渣打银行维持其 10 万美元的年底预测。 在收益报告发布之前,股价从年内低点挣扎 过去 12 个月里,相信该策略叙述的投资者过得并不轻松。 STRC 优先股的定价为每股 100 美元。股东们看到上个月面值跌至一年前推出优先股以来的最低值。 自 2025 年 7 月以来,以 MSTR 股票代码交易的普通股价值已下跌超过 70%,周五收于每股 94.64 美元,低于 457.22 美元的 52 周高点。 根据雅虎财经的数据,该公司定于 7 月 30 日公布第二季度收益,分析师一致认为每股收益为 4.28 美元。 Fintel.io 的数据显示,过去 8 个季度中有 6 个季度的盈利低于分析师预测,其中 2026 年第一季度的盈利意外下降了 33.76%。 杂志:加密货币游说者 1.89 亿美元的活动能否得到澄清?
Standard Chartered sees communication challenges facing the biggest digital asset treasury company as "muddying the waters" for Bitcoin in the near term.
Strategy co-founder and chairman Michael Saylor again took to social media on Sunday to offer his latest signal to investors, even as one analyst said Saylor’s messaging needed more clarity to help Bitcoin regain its momentum.
“Orange dots tell only part of the story,” was Saylor’s message in a post that accompanied a chart from Saylortracker.com, similar to previous social media messages that have preceded news of Strategy's Bitcoin (BTC) purchases, typically announced the day after his posts.
In recent weeks, the largest digital asset treasury company and major BTC holder has moved away from its long-time “never sell Bitcoin” approach to a willingness to sell the biggest crypto as needed to fund dividends for holders of its STRC preferred stock and to replenish its cash reserves. Earlier this month, Strategy sold $216 million worth of Bitcoin, reducing its total holdings to 843,775 tokens, according to a July 6 filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.
“Orange dots tell only part of the story.” Source: Michael Saylor
Days earlier, Strategy unveiled a capital framework allowing Bitcoin sales to fund dividends, increased the annual dividend rate on its STRC preferred stock to 12%, and disclosed that its US dollar reserve had grown to $2.55 billion.
Standard Charter’s global head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, said Strategy’s recent actions — and Saylor's manner of communicating them — “are muddying the waters for BTC near-term.”
“We think effective communication of MSTR’s new strategy (using BTC to back STRC) is key to reassuring markets that wholesale selling is unlikely; this should in turn support BTC prices,” Kendrick wrote in a note to clients on Friday. “Indeed, if this signalling proves effective, it should remove the need for MSTR to actually sell any BTC by supporting STRC’s price,” he said.
Related: Crypto Biz: Did Michael Saylor buy the Bitcoin bottom for once?
StanChart sees inconsistencies in “never sell” approach
Kendrick said that Strategy’s long-held “never sell” approach limited what the company could with its industry-biggest digital asset treasury.
“The problem with the ‘never sell’ approach is that it limits what MSTR’s BTC holdings can do — or, perhaps more importantly, what they are perceived to be doing,” the StanChart analyst said. “MSTR has started to shift its communication strategy on this in recent months. It has sold BTC twice and recently announced a BTC monetization program.”
Source: Standard Chartered Bank
Still, he sees Strategy’s “market signaling” as potentially improving soon and bringing more clarity to the outlook for Bitcoin, on which StanChart maintains its $100,000 year-end forecast.
Shares struggle from year low ahead of earnings report
Investors who bought into the Strategy narrative have not had an easy time in the past 12 months. The STRC preferred shares were formulated to hold a price of $100 apiece. Shareholders saw that par value fall to the wayside last month, to the lowest value since the preferred stock was introduced a year ago.
The common shares, trading under the MSTR ticker, have lost more than 70% of their value since July 2025, closing at $94.64 per share on Friday, down from a 52-week high of $457.22.
The company is slated to report second-quarter earnings on July 30, with analysts consensus of $4.28 per share, according to Yahoo Finance data. Earnings have fallen short of analyst forecasts in six of the last eight quarters, according to Fintel.io data, including a 33.76% negative surprise in the first quarter of 2026.
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